To get the site going, I created a market trying to predict the course evaluation. (I am always curious to find out how students like the class.) So far (as of February 18th) the class rating according to the weighted market prediction is 6.23/7.00. Such an evaluation will be a pretty good rating, if it is of course accurate :-). I am curious to see how accurate the result will be when the ctual evaluations are released in the next few weeks.
PREDICTIONS CLOSING VALUE EXPIRED AT
From 6.5 to 7.0 $36.86/ $0.00
From 6.0 to 6.5 $49.95/ $100.00
From 1.0 to 5.0 $4.23/ $0.00
From 5.0 to 5.5 $4.60/ $0.00
From 5.5 to 6.0 $4.34/ $0.00
The weighted prediction market was 6.23/7.00. The final evaluation received for the class was 6.3/7.0.